Gujarat Assembly Elections 2017: Will Congress Repeat Success of Previous Polls in Kalol, Dehgam, Mansa and Gandhi Nagar Constituency - JPKee.com
New Delhi, Nov 25: Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi will be campaigning in one of the important districts Gandhinagar in North Gujarat on Saturday. The Congress scion’s campaign is likely to be focused on local issues including generation of jobs. The grand old party is expecting a good show this time but an analysis of electoral data suggests a different picture of Gujarat ahead of Assembly Elections next month.
Analysis of three previous elections
An analysis of previous three elections reflect tightening grip of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) on five seats of the districts.
In the assembly elections of 2002 and 2007, BJP and the Congress were on similar footing but the saffron party reversed the trends by winning three out of five seats.
The district has seen a consistent fight between the Patels and the Rabaris, another backward caste. But Congress enjoyed an upper edge with the support of Muslims. Enthused by the unhappy Patidars, who are demanding reservation in educational institutions and jobs, Congress expects it may fare well this time but the departure of senior leader Shankarsinh Vaghela may increase its tensions. Many residents said Vaghela exerted influence in OBC community.
Gujarat Assembly Elections, 2002
| S. No | Constituency | Winner | Votes | Runner Up | Votes |
| 1. | Kalol | DR. ATUL K. PATEL (BJP) | 64092 | PATEL SURESHKUMAR CHATURDAS (INC) | 55750 |
| 2. | Mansa | MANGALBHAI PATEL (BJP) | 58981 | CHAUDHARY HARIBHAI VELJIBHAI | 56308 |
| 3. | Dehgam | JAGDISH THAKOR(Congress) | 56550 | CHAUHAN KALYANSINH DEHARSINH (BJP) | 53731 |
| 4. | Gandhi Nagar | DR. C. J. CHAVDA (Congress) | 83107 | VADIBHAI BHAICHANDDAS PATEL (BJP) | 63082 |
Gujarat Assembly Elections, 2007
| S. No | Constituency | Winner | Votes | Runner Up | Votes |
| 1. | Kalol | PATEL SURESHKUMAR CHATURDAS (INC) | 60533 | PATEL NAVINCHANDRA KANTILAL (BJP) | 57706 |
| 2. | Mansa | PATEL MAGALDAS MADHAVALAL (BJP) | 44381 | THAKOR BABUSINGHJI MOHANSINGHJI | 41011 |
| 3. | Dehgam | THAKOR JAGDISHBHAI MOTIJI I(INC) | 52204 | CHAUHAN KALYANSINH DEHARSINH (BJP) | 50421 |
| 4. | Gandhi Nagar | THAKOR SHAMBHUJI CHELAJI (BJP) | 81729 | C. J. CHAVADA (Cong) | 77784 |
Gujarat Assembly Elections, 2012
| S. No | Constituency | Winner | Votes | Runner Up | Votes |
| 1. | Kalol | Shri Baldevjibhai C. Thakore (Congress) | 64757 | Atulbhai Patel (BJP) | 64414 |
| 2. | Mansa | Amit Haribhai Chaudhary (Congress) | 78068 | D. D. Patel (BJP) | 70040 |
| 3. | Dehgam | Kaminiben B Rathore (Congress) | 61043 | Rohitji Chanduji Thakor (BJP) | 58746 |
| 4. | Gandhi Nagar (South) | Ashok Ranchhodbhai Patel (BJP) | 73551 | Suresh Patel (Congress) | 69326 |
Performance in 2012 Assembly Election
In 2012 Gujarat Assembly Elections, the Congress won 57 out of 182 seats and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) registered victory on 119 seats. The Congress was left with only 43 MLAs after over a dozen of them defected earlier this year.
The Congress, which has been out of power in the key western state for over 22 years now, has been trying hard to increase its tally in the state.
The last date of filing nominations for the first phase of polls in Gujarat is November 21. Voting for the first phase will be held on December 9 while the second phase will go to polls on December 14. The counting of votes will take place on December 18.
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Author - Vikash Kumar
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